Austin WTA • Hard Court

Prediction

Pegula J.
Sramkova R.
-----
-----

Canceled

Show Match Stats
Pegula J.
Sramkova R.

    Match Trends

    Match Winner

    92%
    Jessica Pegula
    Strong Confidence

    Based on our model data.

    Reasoning (Match Winner)

    Jessica Pegula is the clear favorite. Market pricing heavily favors Jessica Pegula and the season form reinforces that view. Jessica Pegula has won nine of her last ten matches, holds a 13–2 hard-court record this season, and shows much stronger recent service numbers than Rebecca Sramkova. Rebecca Sramkova has been up-and-down this year and faces a large ranking gap, so the pick is A.

    First Set Winner

    85%
    Jessica Pegula
    Strong Confidence

    Based on our model data.

    Reasoning (First Set Winner)

    Jessica Pegula is favored to take the opening set. Jessica Pegula has an 80 first-set win rate recently and the market also leans toward Jessica Pegula for first sets. Rebecca Sramkova rarely opens as quickly this season, which lowers upset chances in set one.

    Risk Of Upset

    LOW: 10%

    Underdog: Rebecca Sramkova

    Based on our model data.

    Reasoning (Risk Of Upset)

    Rebecca Sramkova is a long underdog and the upset probability is low given the market and season form favoring Jessica Pegula strongly.

    Show AI Insights

    Jessica Pegula arrives as the dominant profile in this matchup. Jessica Pegula holds a top-5 ranking while Rebecca Sramkova sits outside the top 100, and that gap shows up in straight indicators: Jessica Pegula won nine of her last ten matches and is 13–2 on hard courts this season. Service strength favors Jessica Pegula as well; recent service-hold numbers are markedly higher for Jessica Pegula and that usually shortens points on hard courts. Rebecca Sramkova generates more aces per match but also far more double faults, which creates volatility rather than a sustained edge. First-set history tilts toward Jessica Pegula — she wins opening sets far more often — so fast starts are unlikely to help Rebecca Sramkova. Fatigue does not appear to flip the script: Jessica Pegula has logged less recent court time than Rebecca Sramkova, so the favorite should remain fresh. Taken together, market odds, rankings, surface results and recent-form indicators all point to Jessica Pegula as the strong pick, while Rebecca Sramkova would need an unusually fast start or many short returning points to change the outlook.

    ⚠️ These predictions are automated, math-based forecasts generated from available statistics and historical match data. They are provided for informational purposes only and are not a guarantee of any result. This site does not offer betting or wagering services and no monetary or material prizes are offered. You are solely responsible for any decisions you make based on this information; we accept no liability for outcomes.

    Head to Head Stats

    We haven't found H2H matches between Jessica Pegula and Rebecca Sramkova in our database. This might be their first meeting.

    Players Form

    Shows each player's numbers for the current season and for the last 10 matches. Alongside performance indicators, it also includes metrics such as yield, average odds and others.

    Players Statistics· Overall
    Pegula J.

    ?
    Sramkova R.

    ?
    9
    4
    Matches Won
    90%
    40%
    Win Percentage
    1
    0
    WTA Titles
    Service
    3.2
    4.8
    Aces (avg/match)
    1.3
    3.1
    Double Faults (avg/match)
    65%
    64%
    First Serve
    71%
    62%
    First Serve Points Won
    Second Serve Points Won
    65%
    54%
    Service Points Won
    83%
    63%
    Service Games Won
    Pressure Points (avg/match)
    Pressure Points Won
    1st Serve Speed (km/h)
    2nd Serve Speed (km/h)
    Return
    46%
    45%
    Return Points Won
    38%
    37%
    First Return Points Won
    Second Return Points Won
    40%
    37%
    Return Games Won
    Break Points
    8.1
    10.5
    Break Points Chances (avg/match)
    3.9
    4.5
    Break Points Converted (avg/match)
    48%
    43%
    Break Points Converted
    Break Points Faced (avg/match)
    Break Points Saved (avg/match)
    Break Points Saved
    Other
    Winners (avg/match)
    Unforced Errors (avg/match)
    Net Points Played (avg/match)
    Net Points Won
    Match Points Faced (avg/match)
    Match Points Saved (avg/match)
    Sets / Games
    Best of 3 Won (decider)
    Total Sets Won
    Total Games Won
    Tiebreaks Won
    Won to zero (WW)
    Yields *
    Average Odds
    Yield as Favorite
    Average Odds as Favorite
    Yield as Underdog
    Average Odds as Underdog
    Won as Favorite
    Won as Underdog

    * Yield is calculated by staking 1 unit on each match, summing all stakes and all returns, then computing the net profit (total returns minus total stakes) and dividing it by the total stakes to get a percentage.

    Players Statistics : Aces Over

    Tracks how often the player beats each aces line (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc.). The percentage is the success rate for that line, shown for Current Season and Last 10.

    Players Statistics· Overall

    Aces

    Pegula J.
    Sramkova R.

    Over 0.5

    80 %

    100 %

    Over 1.5

    80 %

    100 %

    Over 2.5

    50 %

    80 %

    Over 3.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Over 4.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Over 5.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Over 6.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Over 7.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Players Statistics : Double Faults Over

    Breaks down double faults by over lines (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc.). Each percentage shows how frequently the player ends a match above that mark, for Current Season and Last 10.

    Players Statistics· Overall

    Double Faults

    Pegula J.
    Sramkova R.

    Over 0.5

    70 %

    100 %

    Over 1.5

    40 %

    80 %

    Over 2.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Over 3.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Over 4.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Over 5.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Players Statistics : Brk. Pts. Converted Over

    Lists over lines for break points converted (0.5, 1.5, etc.) and how often they happen. Percentages reflect the portion of matches that finish over the line, shown for Current Season and Last 10 for each player.

    Players Statistics· Overall

    Break Points

    Pegula J.
    Sramkova R.

    Over 0.5

    100 %

    100 %

    Over 1.5

    100 %

    90 %

    Over 2.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Over 3.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Over 4.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Over 5.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Over 6.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Over 7.5

    🔒

    🔒

    Total Games Over

    Shows games-over frequencies in two ways:

    - player total games over: how often the player's own games total finished over each line.

    - match total games over: how often the entire match total games finished over each line in matches the player took part in.

    Players Statistics· Overall

    Total Games

    Pegula J.
    Sramkova R.

    Player

    Match

    Player

    Match

    Over 11.5

    90%

    100%

    70%

    100%

    Over 12.5

    30%

    100%

    60%

    100%

    Time On Court

    Summarizes how much time each player has spent on court, shown for the current season and the last matches (maximum 10) for which we have timing data. Sometimes, not all matches have timing data, so you can see also the number of matches from which the data is calculated. It also includes a tour breakdown for the current season only, with the current tournament highlighted (usually at the end of the list).

    Time on court statistics for Jessica Pegula.

    Current Season (from 15 matches)

    22h 35mTotal
    Avg: 1h 30m

    Last Matches (10)

    14h 27mTotal
    Avg: 1h 27m
    Season Tournaments:
    Brisbane WTA
    7h 1m
    Avg 1h 45m
    Australian Open WTA
    7h 52m
    Avg 1h 19m
    Dubai WTA
    7h 42m
    Avg 1h 32m

    Market odds (informational only)

    These are market odds from the listed bookmakers, shown for source identification only (we may display multiple sources). Odds are provided for informational purposes only and may change. We do not offer betting or wagering services and we are not affiliated with the listed bookmakers.

    Format:
    Bookmaker
    1
    2
    bet365
    1.14
    5.5
    1xBet
    1.19
    4.8