Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | Prediction & Statistics

Match Predictions

We project Aryna Sabalenka to win both the match and the first set.

Match Winner

Aryna Sabalenka

🔒 See probabilities, confidence and reasoning

Based on our model data.

First Set Winner

Aryna Sabalenka

🔒 See probabilities, confidence and reasoning

Based on our model data.

🔒 See Risk of Upset, probabilities and reasoning

⚠️ These predictions are automated, math-based forecasts generated from available statistics and historical match data. They are provided for informational purposes only and are not a guarantee of any result; we accept no liability for outcomes.

Head to Head Stats (I)

There are H2H matches between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina. Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina met 16 times, spending 31 hours 37 minutes on court.

Overall H2H: Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina stand at 9-7, with Aryna Sabalenka holding a slight overall lead. On hard, Elena Rybakina holds a narrow lead (6-7).

H2H statistics are split in two parts: here you can check general and yield stats, while in the second section you can check sets and games statistics, as well as the list of H2H matches.

H2H Statistics· Overall

Sabalenka A.

Rybakina E.

9

7

Matches Won

56%

44%

Win Percentage

2

4

WTA Titles (in direct H2H)

Service

5.9

8.8

Aces (avg/match)

4.8

2.9

Double Faults (avg/match)

60%

First Serve

69%

72%

First Serve Points Won

🔒

Second Serve Points Won

60%

63%

Service Points Won

75%

79%

Service Games Won

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Pressure Points (avg/match)

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Pressure Points Won

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1st Serve Speed (km/h)

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2nd Serve Speed (km/h)

Return

37%

40%

Return Points Won

28%

31%

First Return Points Won

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Second Return Points Won

21%

25%

Return Games Won

Break Points

6.9

7.3

Break Points Chances (avg/match)

2.6

3.1

Break Points Converted (avg/match)

38%

43%

Break Points Converted

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Break Points Faced (avg/match)

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Break Points Saved (avg/match)

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Break Points Saved

Other

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Winners (avg/match)

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Unforced Errors (avg/match)

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Net Points Played (avg/match)

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Net Points Won

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Match Points Faced (avg/match)

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Match Points Saved (avg/match)

Yields *

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Yield

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Average Odds

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Yield as Favorite

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Average Odds as Favorite

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Yield as Underdog

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Average Odds as Underdog

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Won as Favorite

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Won as Underdog

* Yield is calculated by staking 1 unit on each match, summing all stakes and all returns, then computing the net profit (total returns minus total stakes) and dividing it by the total stakes to get a percentage.

Head to Head Sets And Games (II)

In this second section of H2H, you can check the sets and games statistics, along with more stats (games over) and the list of H2H matches (members only: click on each match for details and full stats).

H2H Statistics· Overall

Sabalenka A.

Rybakina E.

WTA + Grand Slam

20

22

Sets Won

195

209

Games Won

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Tiebreaks Played

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Tiebreaks Won

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Deciders Played

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Deciders Won

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Won to zero (WW)

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1st Set Won -> Match Won

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1st Set Lost -> Match Won

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1st Set Won -> Match Lost

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1st Set Lost -> Match Lost

Games Over

Includes both WTA and Grand Slams (all surfaces).

Total Games H2H

Sabalenka A.

Rybakina E.

Player

Match

Player

Match

Avg/Match

🔒

Over 11.5

63%

100%

81%

100%

Over 12.5

56%

100%

63%

100%

Over 13.5

50%

100%

31%

100%

Over 14.5

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Over 15.5

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Over 16.5

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Over 17.5

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Over 18.5

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Over 19.5

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Over 20.5

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Over 21.5

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Over 22.5

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Over 23.5

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Over 24.5

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Over 25.5

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Over 26.5

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Over 27.5

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Over 28.5

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Over 29.5

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Over 30.5

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Quarter-finals

WinnerSabalenka A.

1-2

Players Form

We rate both players as being in excellent form right now, with Aryna Sabalenka at 95% and Elena Rybakina at 84% win rate. Aryna Sabalenka won 2 WTA titles this season, while Elena Rybakina won one WTA title this season.

Players Statistics· Overall

Sabalenka A.

?

Rybakina E.

?

10

9

Matches Won

100%

90%

Win Percentage

1

0

WTA Titles

Service

5.9

7.1

Aces (avg/match)

2

2.1

Double Faults (avg/match)

68%

62%

First Serve

73%

72%

First Serve Points Won

🔒

Second Serve Points Won

68%

65%

Service Points Won

88%

85%

Service Games Won

🔒

Pressure Points (avg/match)

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Pressure Points Won

Return

42%

41%

Return Points Won

34%

36%

First Return Points Won

🔒

Second Return Points Won

33%

31%

Return Games Won

Break Points

8

5

Break Points Chances (avg/match)

3

Break Points Converted (avg/match)

38%

60%

Break Points Converted

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Break Points Faced (avg/match)

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Break Points Saved (avg/match)

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Break Points Saved

Other

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Match Points Faced (avg/match)

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Match Points Saved (avg/match)

Sets / Games

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Best of 3 Won (decider)

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Total Sets Won

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Total Games Won

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Tiebreaks Won

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Won to zero (WW)

Yields *

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Yield

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Average Odds

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Yield as Favorite

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Average Odds as Favorite

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Yield as Underdog

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Average Odds as Underdog

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Won as Favorite

* Yield is calculated by staking 1 unit on each match, summing all stakes and all returns, then computing the net profit (total returns minus total stakes) and dividing it by the total stakes to get a percentage.

Players Statistics· Overall

mixin

Sabalenka A.

?

Rybakina E.

?

22

25

Matches Played

21

Matches Won

95%

84%

Win Percentage

2

1

WTA Titles

Service

4.7

7.2

Aces (avg/match)

1.7

2

Double Faults (avg/match)

67%

59%

First Serve

73%

First Serve Points Won

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Second Serve Points Won

67%

65%

Service Points Won

87%

83%

Service Games Won

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Pressure Points (avg/match)

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Pressure Points Won

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1st Serve Speed (km/h)

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2nd Serve Speed (km/h)

Return

45%

43%

Return Points Won

37%

34%

First Return Points Won

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Second Return Points Won

38%

35%

Return Games Won

Break Points

8.7

7

Break Points Chances (avg/match)

3.8

Break Points Converted (avg/match)

43%

54%

Break Points Converted

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Break Points Faced (avg/match)

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Break Points Saved (avg/match)

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Break Points Saved

Other

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Winners (avg/match)

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Unforced Errors (avg/match)

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Net Points Played (avg/match)

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Net Points Won

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Match Points Faced (avg/match)

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Match Points Saved (avg/match)

Sets / Games

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Best of 3 Won (decider)

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Total Sets Won

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Total Games Won

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Tiebreaks Won

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Won to zero (WW)

Yields *

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Yield

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Average Odds

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Yield as Favorite

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Average Odds as Favorite

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Yield as Underdog

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Average Odds as Underdog

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Won as Favorite

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Won as Underdog

* Yield is calculated by staking 1 unit on each match, summing all stakes and all returns, then computing the net profit (total returns minus total stakes) and dividing it by the total stakes to get a percentage.

Players Statistics : Aces Over

Tracks how often the player beats each aces line (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc.). The percentage is the success rate for that line, shown for Current Season and Last 10.

Players Statistics· Overall

Aces

Sabalenka A.

Rybakina E.

Over 0.5

100 %

Over 1.5

100 %

80 %

Over 2.5

100 %

80 %

Over 3.5

🔒

Over 4.5

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Over 5.5

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Over 6.5

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Over 7.5

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Over 8.5

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Over 9.5

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Over 10.5

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Over 11.5

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Over 12.5

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Over 13.5

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Players Statistics : Double Faults Over

Breaks down double faults by over lines (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc.). Each percentage shows how frequently the player ends a match above that mark, for Current Season and Last 10.

Players Statistics· Overall

Double Faults

Sabalenka A.

Rybakina E.

Over 0.5

80 %

90 %

Over 1.5

60 %

70 %

Over 2.5

🔒

Over 3.5

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Over 4.5

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Players Statistics : Brk. Pts. Converted Over

Lists over lines for break points converted (0.5, 1.5, etc.) and how often they happen. Percentages reflect the portion of matches that finish over the line, shown for Current Season and Last 10 for each player.

Players Statistics· Overall

Break Points

Sabalenka A.

Rybakina E.

Over 0.5

100 %

Over 1.5

100 %

Over 2.5

🔒

Total Games Over

Shows games-over frequencies in two ways:

- player total games over: how often the player's own games total finished over each line.

- match total games over: how often the entire match total games finished over each line in matches the player took part in.

Players Statistics· Overall

Total Games

Sabalenka A.

Rybakina E.

Player

Match

Player

Match

Avg/Match

🔒

Over 11.5

100%

90%

100%

Over 12.5

30%

100%

50%

100%

Over 13.5

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Over 14.5

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Over 15.5

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Over 16.5

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Over 17.5

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Over 18.5

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Over 19.5

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Over 20.5

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Over 21.5

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Over 22.5

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Over 23.5

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Over 24.5

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Over 25.5

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Over 26.5

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Over 27.5

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Over 28.5

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Over 29.5

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Over 30.5

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Time On Court

Across the last 10 matches, time on court is fairly balanced: Aryna Sabalenka has logged 15h 34m and Elena Rybakina 16h 58m. Average match duration is also close in that span (Aryna Sabalenka: 1h 33m, Elena Rybakina: 1h 42m). In Miami WTA, both players have spent a similar amount of time on court so far (Aryna Sabalenka: 5h 55m, Elena Rybakina: 6h 3m). Their average match time in Miami WTA is close (Aryna Sabalenka: 1h 29m, Elena Rybakina: 1h 31m).

Time on court statistics for Aryna Sabalenka.

Current Season (from 22 matches)

33h 11mTotal

Avg: 1h 31m

Last Matches (10)

15h 34mTotal

Avg: 1h 33m

Season Tournaments:

Brisbane WTA

6h 28m

Avg 1h 18m

Australian Open WTA

11h 9m

Avg 1h 36m

Indian Wells WTA

9h 39m

Avg 1h 37m

Miami WTA

5h 55m

Avg 1h 29m

Market odds (informational only)

These are market odds from the listed bookmakers, shown for source identification only (we may display multiple sources). Odds are provided for informational purposes only and may change. We do not offer betting or wagering services and we are not affiliated with the listed bookmakers.

Format:EUUKUS

Bookmaker

1

2

bet365

▲1.73

▼2.1

1xBet

▲1.8

▼2.11